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1

Statistical methods for interpreting Monte Carlo ensemble forecasts

David B. Stephenson, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes

Journal:

Year:

2000

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.47 MB

english, 2000

2

Soil moisture effects on seasonal temperature and precipitation forecast scores in Europe

Bart van den Hurk, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Randal D. Koster, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Helio Camargo

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.40 MB

english, 2012

3

Seasonal climate predictability and forecasting: status and prospects

Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., García-Serrano, Javier, Lienert, Fabian, Biescas, Aida Pintó, Rodrigues, Luis R. L.

Journal:

Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.86 MB

english, 2013

4

Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches

Meehl, Gerald A., Goddard, Lisa, Boer, George, Burgman, Robert, Branstator, Grant, Cassou, Christophe, Corti, Susanna, Danabasoglu, Gokhan, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Hawkins, Ed, Karspeck, Alicia, Kimo

Journal:

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 425 KB

english, 2014

5

Multi-model calibration and combination of tropical seasonal sea surface temperature forecasts

Luis Ricardo Lage Rodrigues, Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes…

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.09 MB

english, 2014

6

Climate change and infectious diseases: Can we meet the needs for better prediction?

RodÃ³, Xavier, Pascual, Mercedes, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Gershunov, Alexander, Stone, DÃ¡ithÃ A., Giorgi, Filippo, Hudson, Peter J., Kinter, James, RodrÃguez-Arias, Miquel-Ãngel, Stenseth, Nil

Journal:

Climatic Change

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 677 KB

english, 2013

7

Uncertainty: Lessons Learned for Climate Services

Otto, Juliane, Brown, Calum, Buontempo, Carlo, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Jacob, Daniela, Juckes, Martin, Keup-Thiel, Elke, Kurnik, Blaz, Schulz, Jörg, Taylor, Andrea, Verhoelst, Tijl, Walton, Peter

Journal:

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.35 MB

english, 2016

8

Land-surface initialisation improves seasonal climate prediction skill for maize yield forecast

Ceglar, Andrej, Toreti, Andrea, Prodhomme, Chloe, Zampieri, Matteo, Turco, Marco, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Scientific Reports

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.72 MB

english, 2018

9

The biggest unknowns related to decadal prediction: what 50 experts think are the 5 major knowledge gaps

Bojovic, Dragana, Bilbao, Roberto, Díaz, Leandro B., Donat, Markus, Ortega, Pablo, Ruprich-Robert, Yohan, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Terrado, Marta, Verfaillie, Deborah, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco

Journal:

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 908 KB

english, 2019

10

December 2016: Linking the Lowest Arctic Sea-Ice Extent on Record with the Lowest European Precipitation Event on Record

Acosta Navarro, Juan C., Ortega, Pablo, García-Serrano, Javier, Guemas, Virginie, Tourigny, Etienne, Cruz-García, Rubén, Massonnet, François, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Year:

2019

File:

PDF, 4.25 MB

2019

11

Evaluation of the DEMETER performance for seasonal hindcasts of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall

Shujie Ma, Xavier Rodó, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes

Journal:

International Journal of Climatology

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 398 KB

english, 2012

12

North Atlantic wintertime intraseasonal variability and its sensitivity to GCM horizontal resolution

FRANCISCO J. DOBLAS-REYES, MICHEL DÉQUÉ, FRANCISCO VALERO, DAVID B. STEPHENSON

Journal:

Year:

1998

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 535 KB

english, 1998

13

Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF model: From synoptic to decadal time-scales

Peter Bechtold, Martin Köhler, Thomas Jung, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Martin Leutbecher, Mark J. Rodwell, Frederic Vitart, Gianpaolo Balsamo

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.24 MB

english, 2008

14

Multi-model spread and probabilistic seasonal forecasts in PROVOST

Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Michel Déqué, Jean-Philippe Piedelievre

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2000

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.51 MB

english, 2000

15

Stratospheric circulation in seasonal forecasting models: implications for seasonal prediction

Amanda C. Maycock, Sarah P. E. Keeley, Andrew J. Charlton-Perez, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.05 MB

english, 2011

16

ECMWF seasonal forecast system 3 and its prediction of sea surface temperature

Timothy N. Stockdale, David L. T. Anderson, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Laura Ferranti, Kristian Mogensen, Timothy N. Palmer, Franco Molteni, Frederic Vitart

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.47 MB

english, 2011

17

The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting – II. Calibration and combination

FRANCISCO J. DOBLAS-REYES, RENATE HAGEDORN, T. N. PALMER

Journal:

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 654 KB

english, 2005

18

A forecast quality assessment of an end-to-end probabilistic multi-model seasonal forecast system using a malaria model

ANDREW P. MORSE, FRANCISCO J. DOBLAS-REYES, MOSHE B. HOSHEN, RENATE HAGEDORN, TIM N. PALMER

Journal:

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 157 KB

english, 2005

19

The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting – I. Basic concept

RENATE HAGEDORN, FRANCISCO J. DOBLAS-REYES, T. N. PALMER

Journal:

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 641 KB

english, 2005

20

Progressive Build Up Of Co2In The AtmosphereOf Venus Through Multiple Volcanic Resurfacing Events

Ivan Lopez, Roberto Oyarzun, Alvaro Marquez, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Alejandro Laurrieta

Journal:

Earth, Moon, and Planets

Year:

1998

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 37 KB

english, 1998

21

News

Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes

Journal:

Year:

2003

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 44 KB

english, 2003

22

Decadal prediction skill in a multi-model ensemble

Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Bert Wouters, Wilco Hazeleger

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.92 MB

english, 2012

23

Impact of greenhouse gas concentrations on tropical storms in coupled seasonal forecasts

FRÉDÉRIC VITART, FRANCISCO DOBLAS-REYES

Journal:

Year:

2007

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 675 KB

english, 2007

24

On the predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe

Weisheimer, Antje, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Jung, Thomas, Palmer, T. N.

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 650 KB

english, 2011

25

Storm track signature in total ozone during northern hemisphere winter

Orsolini, Yvan J., Stephenson, David B., Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

1998

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 510 KB

english, 1998

26

Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade

Guemas, Virginie, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Andreu-Burillo, Isabel, Asif, Muhammad

Journal:

Nature Climate Change

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 460 KB

english, 2013

27

Decadal prediction of interannual tropical and North Pacific sea surface temperature

Lienert, Fabian, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.18 MB

english, 2013

28

Multi-year prediction skill of Atlantic hurricane activity in CMIP5 decadal hindcasts

Louis-Philippe Caron, Colin G. Jones, Francisco Doblas-Reyes

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.40 MB

english, 2014

29

Impact of I/O and Data Management in Ensemble Large Scale Climate Forecasting Using EC-Earth3

Asif, Muhammad, Cencerrado, Andrés, Mula-Valls, Oriol, Manubens, Domingo, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Cortés, Ana

Journal:

Procedia Computer Science

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 5.75 MB

english, 2014

30

Ensemble of sea ice initial conditions for interannual climate predictions

Guemas, Virginie, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Mogensen, Kristian, Keeley, Sarah, Tang, Yongming

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 4.05 MB

english, 2014

31

Seasonal forecast quality of the West African monsoon rainfall regimes by multiple forecast systems

Rodrigues, Luis Ricardo Lage, García-Serrano, Javier, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco

Journal:

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.08 MB

english, 2014

32

Stochastic atmospheric perturbations in the EC-Earth3 global coupled model: impact of SPPT on seasonal forecast quality

Batté, Lauriane, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 18.07 MB

english, 2015

33

Hypothesis Testing for Autocorrelated Short Climate Time Series*

Guemas, Virginie, Auger, Ludovic, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 899 KB

english, 2014

34

Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Variability in Coupled Seasonal Hindcasts

Xavier, Prince K., Duvel, Jean-Philippe, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Journal of Climate

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 4.26 MB

english, 2008

35

An Evaluation Metric for Intraseasonal Variability and its Application to CMIP3 Twentieth-Century Simulations

Xavier, Prince K., Duvel, Jean-Philippe, Braconnot, Pascale, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Journal of Climate

Year:

2010

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.53 MB

english, 2010

36

The ability of a multi-model seasonal forecasting ensemble to forecast the frequency of warm, cold and wet extremes

Pepler, Acacia S., Díaz, Leandro B., Prodhomme, Chloé, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Kumar, Arun

Journal:

Weather and Climate Extremes

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 8.55 MB

english, 2015

37

Impact of land-surface initialization on sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasts over Europe

Prodhomme, Chloé, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Bellprat, Omar, Dutra, Emanuel

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 7.87 MB

english, 2016

38

Climate service development, delivery and use in Europe at monthly to inter-annual timescales

Buontempo, Carlo, Hewitt, Chris D., Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Dessai, Suraje

Journal:

Climate Risk Management

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 253 KB

english, 2014

39

Clusters of interannual sea ice variability in the northern hemisphere

Fučkar, Neven S., Guemas, Virginie, Johnson, Nathaniel C., Massonnet, François, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 22.40 MB

english, 2016

40

Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach

Volpi, Danila, Guemas, Virginie, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Hawkins, Ed, Nichols, Nancy K.

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.84 MB

english, 2017

41

Impact of springtime Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau snowpack on the onset of the Indian summer monsoon in coupled seasonal forecasts

Senan, Retish, Orsolini, Yvan J., Weisheimer, Antje, Vitart, Frédéric, Balsamo, Gianpaolo, Stockdale, Timothy N., Dutra, Emanuel, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Basang, Droma

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 12.61 MB

english, 2016

42

Polar Lower-Latitude Linkages and Their Role in Weather and Climate Prediction

Jung, Thomas, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Goessling, Helge, Guemas, Virginie, Bitz, Cecilia, Buontempo, Carlo, Caballero, Rodrigo, Jakobson, Erko, Jungclaus, Johann, Karcher, Michael, Koenigk, Torben, Ma

Journal:

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 487 KB

english, 2015

43

Advancing polar prediction capabilities on daily to seasonal time scales

Jung, Thomas, Gordon, Neil D., Bauer, Peter, Bromwich, David H., Chevallier, Matthieu, Day, Jonathan J., Dawson, Jackie, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Fairall, Christopher, Goessling, Helge F., Holland, Ma

Journal:

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 20.16 MB

english, 2016

44

Prospects for decadal climate prediction in the Mediterranean region

Guemas, Virginie, García-Serrano, Javier, Mariotti, Annarita, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Caron, Louis-Philippe

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.39 MB

english, 2015

45

Linking the Anomaly Initialization Approach to the Mapping Paradigm: A Proof-of-Concept Study

Weber, Robin J. T., Carrassi, Alberto, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Monthly Weather Review

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.18 MB

english, 2015

46

Medium-Range, Monthly, and Seasonal Prediction for Europe and the Use of Forecast Information

Rodwell, Mark J., Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Journal of Climate

Year:

2006

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.75 MB

english, 2006

47

A review on Arctic sea-ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time-scales

Guemas, Virginie, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward, Chevallier, Matthieu, Day, Jonathan J., Déqué, Michel, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Fučkar, Neven S., Germe, Agathe, Hawkins, Ed, Keeley, Sarah, Koeni

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 5.09 MB

english, 2016

48

Attribution of extreme weather and climate events overestimated by unreliable climate simulations

Bellprat, Omar, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 880 KB

english, 2016

49

Prediction of interannual North Atlantic sea surface temperature and its remote influence over land

Lienert, Fabian, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 5.22 MB

english, 2017

50

[IEEE 2016 International Conference on High Performance Computing & Simulation (HPCS) - Innsbruck, Austria (2016.7.18-2016.7.22)] 2016 International Conference on High Performance Computing & Simulation (HPCS) - Seamless management of ensemble climate prediction experiments on HPC platforms

Manubens-Gil, Domingo, Vegas-Regidor, Javier, Prodhomme, Chloe, Mula-Valls, Oriol, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.36 MB

english, 2016

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